A simple test of expected utility theory using professional traders.

نویسندگان

  • John A List
  • Michael S Haigh
چکیده

We compare behavior across students and professional traders from the Chicago Board of Trade in a classic Allais paradox experiment. Our experiment tests whether independence, a necessary condition in expected utility theory, is systematically violated. We find that both students and professionals exhibit some behavior consistent with the Allais paradox, but the data pattern does suggest that the trader population falls prey to the Allais paradox less frequently than the student population.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

دوره 102 3  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005